According to Grinding Gear Games’ (GGG) 2023 figures, there’s an 8.3% probability a fresh account will be banned within 30 days of the initial buy of POE2 currency, much higher than the 1.2% for aged accounts. This is largely because irregular capital flow relies on the risk management system – if a new account gets more than 50,000 Chaos ORBs (approximately $400 market value) within less than 72 hours from its opening, there is a possibility that it will be getting an autopilot ban as high as 64% so. For instance, u/POE_Noob_2023, a user on Reddit, had his account banned permanently due to “resource source anomaly” after spending $220 on a Exalted Orb during the first week of Season 3.23 with a 100% failure rate in arbitration dispute. However, the suspension rate of the official co-op platform GGG Trade stands at just 0.1% since its currency source is fully compliant.
The risks on third-party sites are significantly different: PlayerAuctions has reduced the rate of suspension of new user accounts to 2.4% through the “account age matching” technology (selling currency only to accounts that have been registered for more than 90 days), but 0.5% of the currency sold by it in 2023 was still marked as black gold (produced through script cheating). On the other hand, fresh account trades on unverified sites such as PlayerGuardian have been suspended by a maximum of 6.7%, and its “low-price trap” of $0.07 for an Exalted Orb (mean price on cooperative sites is $0.11) has led to a second suspension of 23% of customers. Statistics from Game Business Week say that when more than 500 Chaos OrBs are purchased by new accounts through non-compliant sites, then there is more than 15% possibility of losing money and only 9% of cases against disputes are settled.
Risks can be alleviated partly through technical: G2G’s “distributed delivery” system segments one transaction into 5-8 small transfers (each ≤1000 Chaos Orb), thus reducing the possibility of suspension of new accounts to 3.1% from 8.3%. Its illustration shows that customers purchased a combined total of 8,000 Chaos OrBs (at $0.085 each) in three lots in Season 3.22, and the account survival rate increased to 89%. The price of this method increases by 12%, and the delivery time increases from a mean of 4 minutes to 22 minutes. A safer option is to use the “rental account” service, for example, the “Season Account Package” of ItemNow (50,000 Chaos OrBs and level 90 characters), for which a monthly fee of $75 will be charged. The opportunity for a ban is only 0.3% because the median age of the account is 2.4 years.
The crux of is buying poe 2 currency safe is risk avoidance and control – According to the “White Paper on Virtual Economy Security”, if the new account performs the following operations soon after currency buying, the risk rises: 1) The quantity of trades suddenly increases more than 300% in 72 hours; 2) Cross-regional login (e.g., migrating an Asian account to a European IP); 3) The daily equipment value altered over 500 Chaos Orb. POE2Market monitoring shows that new players can maintain an up to 94% account survival rate by strictly following the “3-7-30 rule” for segregation into 3 days, 7 times, with ≤30% of total budget each time. For example, User A purchased 12,000 Chaos OrBs in 7 segments in Season 3.21 (each time ≤1700), supplemented by daily map-grinding activities, remained undetected successfully.
The double danger of market and law should not be ignored: In 2023, GGG, together with Valve, banned 146,000 accounts for RMT (Real Currency transactions), of which 68% were new accounts, and 37% of the bans had taken place after the lawsuit against the Digital Millennium Copyright Act in the United States. The more subtle risk is exchange rate fluctuation – during mid-season 3.23, the price of Exalted Orb fell from 85 Chaos Orb to 42 Chaos Orb, causing pricey hoarders to lose more than 55%. Therefore, obedient sites such as GGG Trade have implemented “price insurance”. The users are able to cap the exchange rate for 24 hours at a premium of 5% of the transaction value, increasing the market risk transfer rate to 80%.
Last but not least, in comparison with is it safe to buy poe 2 currency for the regular account, the new account’s balance point resides in cost and the margin of safety – through selecting the GGG authorized platform, in which the volume of a transaction is ≤2000 Chaos Orb, and following regular gaming habits, the comprehensive rate of risk can be regulated between 1.2%-3.5%. However, the cost of money increases by 25%-40%. Conversely, pursuing cheap prices costs an 8% to 15% opportunity of being banned from an account and losing money. 61% of new users, based on a Steam community poll, prefer the “small amount several times” strategy (single transaction ≤50 US dollars), even though the efficiency is decreased by 30%, the rate of satisfaction of account survivability is 92%.